There is a consumer behaviour that businesses often misread.
The customer still visits stores.
Still opens marketplaces.
Still eats out.
Still buys fashion, beauty, household goods, or favourite products.
But the decision takes longer.
They compare.
They examine pack sizes.
They consider alternatives.
They wait for promotions.
They ask whether the more expensive option genuinely delivers more.
This consumer has not stopped spending.
They have become more selective.
Indonesia’s latest consumer data provides useful context.
Bank Indonesia’s Consumer Confidence Index stood at an optimistic 116.8 in July 2026.[1]
Yet the Current Economic Condition Index slipped from 109.2 in June to 107.9, while the Consumer Expectation Index edged down from 126.4 to 125.7.[1]
Meanwhile, July retail sales were expected to grow a relatively modest 0.9% year on year.[2]
Annual inflation then increased to 3.19% in August.[3]
No single figure proves that Indonesian consumers are broadly cutting spending.
Together, however, they remind brands of something fundamental:
consumer optimism does not eliminate the need to prove value.
Discounts work—and that is part of the problem
Discounts can be highly effective.
They increase conversion.
Encourage trial.
Clear inventory.
Reactivate dormant customers.
Help businesses hit short-term targets.
The problem begins when discounting moves from being a tool to becoming a pricing identity.
If a product is almost always on promotion, customers learn something:
the regular price may not be the price they actually need to pay.
They wait for payday offers.
Double-date campaigns.
Vouchers.
Flash sales.
Transactions may continue, while the brand gradually loses the ability to sell at full price.
Price and value are different things
Perceived value does not require a product to be expensive.
It means customers understand why a product is worth buying at a given price.
For food, that may involve taste, consistency, portion, convenience, or trust.
For fashion, it may involve material, cut, durability, design, identity, and versatility.
For professional services, value could mean expertise, speed, clarity, or reduced risk.
For software, customers may value time saved or work made easier.
A strong brand does not always charge the highest price.
It creates a credible relationship between price and benefit.
Selective consumers expose weak positioning
When demand is easy, unclear positioning can hide behind market momentum.
When consumers become more careful, weaknesses are exposed.
If customers cannot answer:
“Why should I buy this instead of the cheaper alternative?”
the business has a value-proposition problem.
A discount may hide that problem for one purchase.
It does not solve it.
Do not blame purchasing power for every sales problem
When sales soften, “weak purchasing power” becomes an easy explanation.
Sometimes it is correct.
Sometimes it is incomplete.
Sales can weaken because a product has lost relevance.
Pricing may be wrong.
Customer experience may have deteriorated.
Competitors may have improved.
Channels may have shifted.
Existing customers may not be returning.
The brand may simply lack clear differentiation.
Macroeconomic data should provide context.
It should not become an excuse.
Look inside the basket
One of the most useful signals is not only transaction count.
Examine what changes within each transaction.
Is average transaction value falling?
Are shoppers moving to cheaper SKUs?
Are smaller packs gaining share?
Are premium products weakening while entry-level items remain strong?
Do customers purchase only when vouchers are available?
Do bundles perform better than direct discounts?
Those signals help distinguish affordability pressure from a broader perceived-value problem.
Healthy discounts have a specific job
This is not an argument against promotions.
Promotions remain useful.
But each one should have a defined purpose.
Acquire first-time customers.
Reactivate dormant ones.
Drive cross-sell.
Reduce specific inventory.
Increase basket size.
Introduce a new category.
If the objective is simply “increase sales,” the business may struggle to determine whether the campaign created long-term value.
Measure what happens after the promotion
Campaign-period sales are not enough.
Ask what happens afterwards.
Do customers return without another discount?
Does repeat purchase improve?
Does average order value rise?
Do they buy other categories?
Is gross margin still healthy after the campaign?
If not, the promotion may simply have moved future demand into the present.
Permanent discounting changes price psychology
Price is not only an economic number.
It is also a signal.
If a product with a listed price of Rp500,000 is almost always available at Rp299,000, customers eventually reinterpret what “normal price” means.
The discounted price becomes the reference.
That is why pricing integrity matters.
Not because brands should stubbornly protect high prices.
Because customers should still believe there is a rational relationship between price and value.
Build value through things customers can actually experience
Brands often rely on words such as premium, quality, authentic, or innovative.
Customers do not buy adjectives.
They buy experiences.
If quality is the promise, demonstrate materials or durability.
If convenience is the promise, remove friction.
If the brand claims to be personal, make service feel personal.
If local identity matters, communicate origin, craftsmanship, community, or design authentically.
If the price is higher, make the difference tangible.
Perceived value is not a slogan.
It is built through details.
Small businesses have an underestimated advantage
Small companies often lose a price-promotion battle against large brands.
But they can win through proximity.
Owners frequently speak directly with customers.
They can hear objections, favourite-product stories, reasons for churn, and the actual language customers use to describe value.
That information is valuable.
SMEs do not always need to fight marketplaces or major brands with deeper discounts.
They can use proximity to build more specific products, service, stories, and experiences.
Value does not mean premium pricing
There is another misconception.
A value strategy does not mean turning every brand into a premium-price brand.
Value-for-money positioning can be extremely strong.
The key is consistency.
Customers understand what they receive.
The price feels rational.
Quality matches the promise.
There are no unpleasant surprises.
The experience is easy.
For many consumers, reliability can be more valuable than luxury.
Test positioning through three layers
Brands can run a simple audit.
Functional value
What does the product actually do better or differently?
Emotional value
How does the customer feel when buying or using it?
Economic value
Why does the price make sense relative to alternatives?
If all three are weak, discount dependency becomes easy.
If one or two are consistently strong, the brand has more room to protect pricing.
More selective consumers are not necessarily bad news
Selective consumers can make growth harder.
They can also force businesses to improve.
Products become clearer.
Pricing becomes more rational.
Communication becomes more honest.
Promotion becomes more disciplined.
Customer experience becomes more relevant.
Over time, that can create a healthier business than growth driven primarily by vouchers.
Win the reason to buy
Current Indonesian data does not show consumers abandoning spending altogether.
Confidence remains optimistic, retail activity is still growing annually, and Indonesia’s economy expanded 5.29% year on year in the second quarter of 2026.[4]
But optimism does not eliminate choice.
In a market with expanding alternatives, winning the transaction is not simply about being cheapest.
The strategic question for a brand is:
If every discount disappeared tomorrow, what reason would customers still have to choose us?
The answer is the foundation of brand value.
- [1] Bank Indonesia. “Consumer Survey July 2026: Consumer Confidence Maintained.” 10 August 2026.
- [2] Bank Indonesia. “Retail Sales Survey July 2026: Retail Sales Expected to Increase.” 11 August 2026.
- [3] BPS-Statistics Indonesia. “Year-on-year inflation in August 2026 stood at 3.19 percent.” 1 September 2026.
- [4] BPS-Statistics Indonesia. “Indonesia’s Economy Grew 5.29 Percent Year on Year in Q2 2026.” 5 August 2026.
Published: September 6, 2026




